Guinea vs Eritrea Prediction, H2H & Stats

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Our goal model

30% 28% 42%

API-Football

35% 35% 30%

Bookmaker

74% 17% 8%

Guinea Draw Eritrea

Value spotted: Draw at 5.25 (model 28% vs market 17%) · Eritrea win at 11.00 (model 42% vs market 8%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.2%

1-1 13.2%

0-0 10.5%

1-0 10.5%

0-2 8.2%

1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 Guinea · 1.25 Eritrea

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams score45%

Team comparison

30%

Form

70%

29%

Attack

71%

78%

Defence

22%

100%

Goal model

0%

Head to head

0%

Goals

0%

45%

Overall

54%

Recent form

3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10

01 Oct 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Guinea

1 - 0

Kenya W

26 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification South Africa

2 - 1

Guinea L

04 Jun 2026Friendlies Northern Ireland

1 - 0

Guinea L

31 Mar 2026Friendlies Guinea

0 - 1

Benin L

27 Mar 2026Friendlies Guinea

2 - 2

Togo D

18 Nov 2025Friendlies Guinea

1 - 1

Niger D

15 Nov 2025Friendlies Guinea

2 - 0

Liberia W

14 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Guinea

2 - 2

Botswana D

09 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Mozambique

1 - 2

Guinea W

08 Sep 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Guinea

0 - 0

Algeria D

2 W 1 D 2 L in the last 5

30 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Eritrea

0 - 5

South Africa L

26 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Kenya

1 - 1

Eritrea D

31 Mar 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Eswatini

1 - 2

Eritrea W

25 Mar 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Eritrea

2 - 0

Eswatini W

28 May 2025Friendlies Eritrea

0 - 1

Niger L

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

0

0-15'

0

16-30'

0

1

31-45'

1

0

46-60'

2

1

61-75'

0

76-90'

2

0

0-15'

0

1

16-30'

1

0

31-45'

0

46-60'

2

0

61-75'

1

76-90'

2

Guinea Eritrea

Side by side

Guinea Eritrea

2 Played 4

1 Won 2

0 Drawn 1

1 Lost 1

1 Goals scored per game 1.3

1 Goals conceded per game 1.8

1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.5

1 Clean sheets 1

0 Failed to score 1

0 Longest winning run 2

1-0 Biggest win 2-0

2-1 Biggest defeat 0-5

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Guinea

Eritrea (H) 12 Nov

Eritrea (A) 16 Nov

South Africa (H) 24 Mar

Kenya (A) 28 Mar

Eritrea

Guinea (A) 12 Nov

Guinea (H) 16 Nov

Kenya (H) 24 Mar

South Africa (A) 28 Mar

Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365

Guinea 1.22 82% implied Our tip

Draw 5.25 19% implied

Eritrea 11.00 9% implied

Guinea 1.06 94% implied Our tip

Eritrea 8.00 13% implied

Over 0.5 1.04 96% implied Our tip

Under 0.5 9.00 11% implied

Over 1.5 1.20 83% implied

Under 1.5 4.33 23% implied

Over 2.5 1.67 60% implied Our tip

Under 2.5 2.15 47% implied

Over 3.5 2.62 38% implied

Under 3.5 1.44 69% implied Our tip

Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied

Under 4.5 1.17 85% implied

Guinea/Draw 26.00 4% implied

Guinea/Eritrea 67.00 1% implied

Draw/Eritrea 23.00 4% implied

Draw/Draw 9.00 11% implied

Guinea/Guinea 1.62 62% implied

Draw/Guinea 3.75 27% implied

Eritrea/Guinea 23.00 4% implied

Eritrea/Draw 29.00 3% implied

Eritrea/Eritrea 26.00 4% implied

Yes 2.50 40% implied

No 1.50 67% implied

2:0 5.50 18% implied

1:0 7.00 14% implied

3:0 7.00 14% implied

2:1 10.00 10% implied

4:0 11.00 9% implied

1:1 11.00 9% implied

0:0 12.00 8% implied

3:1 13.00 8% implied

Guinea/Draw 1.01 99% implied

Guinea/Eritrea 1.11 90% implied

Draw/Eritrea 4.50 22% implied

Guinea 1.62 62% implied Our tip

Draw 2.60 38% implied

Eritrea 9.50 11% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	South Africa	2	2	0	0	7:1	+6	6	WW
2	Guinea	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3	WL
3	Eritrea	2	0	1	1	1:6	-5	1	LD
4	Kenya	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1	LD

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

1

H. Mastouri

Tunisia 4goals 0assists 1apps

2

M. Munetsi

Zimbabwe 3goals 0assists 2apps

3

E. Colley

Gambia 3goals 0assists 2apps

4

Y. Wissa

Congo DR 2goals 1assists 2apps

5

Chamito

Mozambique 2goals 0assists 2apps

6

Omar Marmoush

Egypt 2goals 0assists 2apps

7

Mama Baldé

Guinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps

8

Franculino Djú

Guinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps

9

N. Dorgeles

Mali 2goals 0assists 2apps

10

A. Tia

Mali 2goals 0assists 2apps

Guinea vs Eritrea: preview and prediction

Guinea host Eritrea in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry. Guinea sit 2nd in the table and Eritrea 3rd.

Guinea are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Eritrea have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Guinea and 1.25 for Eritrea. It gives Eritrea the edge (30% home win, 28% draw, 42% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is Free Tip (1) at odds of 1.14. We also like Hwin (Home Win), Over 0.5, under 3.5.

Guinea vs Eritrea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Guinea vs Eritrea?

Our top tip is Free Tip: 1 (1.14 odds).

Who will win Guinea vs Eritrea?

Eritrea are favourites: our model gives Guinea 30%, the draw 28% and Eritrea 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Guinea vs Eritrea?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade du 28 Septembre, Conakry.