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Home/ World/ Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Group Stage - 3
Congo DR

Congo DR

1st in table
LWWLD
Kick-off
17:00
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Sierra Leone

Sierra Leone

4th in table
DWLLL
Thursday, 12 November 2026
Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Congo DR Draw Sierra Leone
Value spotted: Draw at 5.25 (model 26% vs market 17%) · Sierra Leone win at 15.00 (model 19% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.8%
1-1 11.9%
2-0 11.9%
0-0 10.5%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 7.9%

Expected goals: 1.5 Congo DR · 0.75 Sierra Leone

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
67%
Attack
33%
80%
Defence
20%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
100%
Goals
0%
73%
Overall
26%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
1Congo DR wins
0Draws
0Sierra Leone wins
3Goals per game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
27 Sep 2022Friendlies Congo DR 3 - 0 Sierra Leone

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026Friendlies Uganda 1 - 1 Congo DR D
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Congo DR 0 - 2 Uganda L
28 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Zimbabwe 1 - 2 Congo DR W
24 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Congo DR 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea W
01 Jul 2026World Cup England 2 - 1 Congo DR L
27 Jun 2026World Cup Congo DR 3 - 1 Uzbekistan W
24 Jun 2026World Cup Colombia 1 - 0 Congo DR L
17 Jun 2026World Cup Portugal 1 - 1 Congo DR D
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Congo DR 1 - 2 Chile L
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Congo DR 0 - 0 Denmark D
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
28 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Sierra Leone L
24 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe L
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Liberia 3 - 1 Sierra Leone L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Sierra Leone 1 - 0 Liberia W
30 Mar 2026FIFA Series Azerbaijan 1 - 1 Sierra Leone D
12 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Djibouti 1 - 2 Sierra Leone W
08 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Sierra Leone 0 - 1 Burkina Faso L
09 Sep 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Sierra Leone 2 - 0 Ethiopia W
04 Sep 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Guinea-Bissau 1 - 1 Sierra Leone D
25 Mar 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Egypt 1 - 0 Sierra Leone L

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
2
Congo DR Sierra Leone

Side by side

Congo DR Sierra Leone
2 Played 2
2 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
2 Goals scored per game 1
0.5 Goals conceded per game 2
2 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 2-3
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Congo DR
Sierra Leone (H) 12 Nov
Sierra Leone (A) 17 Nov
Equatorial Guinea (A) 24 Mar
Zimbabwe (H) 28 Mar
Sierra Leone
Congo DR (A) 12 Nov
Congo DR (H) 17 Nov
Zimbabwe (A) 24 Mar
Equatorial Guinea (H) 28 Mar
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Congo DR 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Draw 5.25 19% implied Our tip
Sierra Leone 15.00 7% implied
Congo DR 1.04 96% implied Our tip
Sierra Leone 9.00 11% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied
Under 0.5 9.50 11% implied
Over 1.5 1.28 78% implied
Under 1.5 3.50 29% implied
Over 2.5 1.85 54% implied
Under 2.5 1.95 51% implied
Over 3.5 3.25 31% implied
Under 3.5 1.33 75% implied
Over 4.5 5.50 18% implied
Under 4.5 1.12 89% implied
Congo DR/Draw 26.00 4% implied
Congo DR/Sierra Leone 67.00 1% implied
Draw/Sierra Leone 23.00 4% implied
Draw/Draw 7.50 13% implied
Congo DR/Congo DR 1.67 60% implied
Draw/Congo DR 3.60 28% implied
Sierra Leone/Congo DR 29.00 3% implied
Sierra Leone/Draw 29.00 3% implied
Sierra Leone/Sierra Leone 23.00 4% implied
Yes 3.00 33% implied
No 1.36 74% implied
2:0 5.00 20% implied
1:0 5.50 18% implied
3:0 6.50 15% implied
0:0 9.50 11% implied
4:0 10.00 10% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
1:1 11.00 9% implied
3:1 15.00 7% implied
Congo DR/Draw 1.01 99% implied
Congo DR/Sierra Leone 1.14 88% implied
Draw/Sierra Leone 4.33 23% implied
Congo DR 1.62 62% implied Our tip
Draw 2.40 42% implied Our tip
Sierra Leone 12.00 8% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Congo DR 2200 4:1 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2101 1:2 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2002 2:4 -2 0 LL

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
1 H. MastouriTunisia 4goals 0assists 1apps
2 M. MunetsiZimbabwe 3goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. ColleyGambia 3goals 0assists 2apps
4 Y. WissaCongo DR 2goals 1assists 2apps
5 ChamitoMozambique 2goals 0assists 2apps
6 Omar MarmoushEgypt 2goals 0assists 2apps
7 Mama BaldéGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
8 Franculino DjúGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
9 N. DorgelesMali 2goals 0assists 2apps
10 A. TiaMali 2goals 0assists 2apps

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone: preview and prediction

Congo DR host Sierra Leone in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa. Congo DR sit 1st in the table and Sierra Leone 4th.

Congo DR have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-L-D). Sierra Leone are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Congo DR won 1, Sierra Leone won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Congo DR and 0.75 for Sierra Leone. It gives Congo DR the edge (55% home win, 26% draw, 19% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is 1 DNB at odds of 1.20. We also like Draw (X), Home -0.5, Hwin (Home Win).

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone FAQs

What is the best prediction for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our top tip is Draw No Bet: 1 DNB (1.20 odds).

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR are favourites: our model gives Congo DR 55%, the draw 26% and Sierra Leone 19%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Stade des Martyrs, Kinshasa.