Home/ World/ Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Group Stage - 3
Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea

3rd in table
WDLLW
Kick-off
17:00
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe

2nd in table
WLWWL
Thursday, 12 November 2026
Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Equatorial Guinea Draw Zimbabwe
Value spotted: Zimbabwe win at 2.90 (model 49% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.1%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 6.8%
1-3 6%
0-1 6%

Expected goals: 1.5 Equatorial Guinea · 2 Zimbabwe

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
20%
Attack
80%
67%
Defence
33%
100%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
45%
Overall
54%

Recent form

2 W 1 D 6 L in the last 9
28 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Equatorial Guinea 1 - 0 Sierra Leone W
24 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Congo DR 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea L
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Equatorial Guinea 0 - 1 Comoros L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Equatorial Guinea 1 - 1 Madagascar D
25 Mar 2026Friendlies Kyrgyzstan 0 - 1 Equatorial Guinea W
31 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Equatorial Guinea 1 - 3 Algeria L
28 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Equatorial Guinea 0 - 1 Sudan L
24 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Burkina Faso 2 - 1 Equatorial Guinea L
17 Nov 2025Friendlies Madagascar 2 - 0 Equatorial Guinea L
4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
28 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Zimbabwe 1 - 2 Congo DR L
24 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Sierra Leone 2 - 3 Zimbabwe W
30 May 2026Friendlies India 0 - 1 Zimbabwe W
26 May 2026Friendlies Nigeria 2 - 0 Zimbabwe L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Zimbabwe 1 - 0 Zambia U23 W
28 Mar 2026Friendlies Botswana 0 - 3 Zimbabwe W
29 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Zimbabwe 2 - 3 South Africa L
26 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Angola 1 - 1 Zimbabwe D
22 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations Egypt 2 - 1 Zimbabwe L

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe

Side by side

Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
0.5 Goals scored per game 2
1 Goals conceded per game 2
1 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 3
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
1-0 Biggest win 2-3
2-0 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Equatorial Guinea
Zimbabwe (H) 12 Nov
Zimbabwe (A) 16 Nov
Congo DR (H) 24 Mar
Sierra Leone (A) 28 Mar
Zimbabwe
Equatorial Guinea (A) 12 Nov
Equatorial Guinea (H) 16 Nov
Sierra Leone (H) 24 Mar
Congo DR (A) 28 Mar
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Equatorial Guinea 2.50 40% implied
Draw 2.88 35% implied
Zimbabwe 2.90 34% implied
Equatorial Guinea 1.67 60% implied
Zimbabwe 2.10 48% implied
Over 0.5 1.11 90% implied
Under 0.5 6.00 17% implied
Over 1.5 1.50 67% implied
Under 1.5 2.50 40% implied
Over 2.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 2.5 1.44 69% implied
Over 3.5 5.00 20% implied
Under 3.5 1.14 88% implied
Over 4.5 9.00 11% implied
Under 4.5 1.04 96% implied
Equatorial Guinea/Draw 17.00 6% implied Our tip
Equatorial Guinea/Zimbabwe 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Zimbabwe 6.50 15% implied
Draw/Draw 4.33 23% implied
Equatorial Guinea/Equatorial Guinea 4.00 25% implied
Draw/Equatorial Guinea 5.50 18% implied
Zimbabwe/Equatorial Guinea 34.00 3% implied
Zimbabwe/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Zimbabwe/Zimbabwe 5.00 20% implied
Yes 2.20 45% implied
No 1.62 62% implied
0:0 6.00 17% implied
1:1 6.00 17% implied
1:0 6.50 15% implied
0:1 7.50 13% implied
2:0 11.00 9% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
0:2 13.00 8% implied
1:2 13.00 8% implied
Equatorial Guinea/Draw 1.30 77% implied Our tip
Equatorial Guinea/Zimbabwe 1.33 75% implied
Draw/Zimbabwe 1.44 69% implied
Equatorial Guinea 3.20 31% implied
Draw 1.91 52% implied
Zimbabwe 3.75 27% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Congo DR 2200 4:1 +3 6 WW
2 Zimbabwe 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
3 Equatorial Guinea 2101 1:2 -1 3 WL
4 Sierra Leone 2002 2:4 -2 0 LL

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
1 H. MastouriTunisia 4goals 0assists 1apps
2 M. MunetsiZimbabwe 3goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. ColleyGambia 3goals 0assists 2apps
4 Y. WissaCongo DR 2goals 1assists 2apps
5 ChamitoMozambique 2goals 0assists 2apps
6 Omar MarmoushEgypt 2goals 0assists 2apps
7 Mama BaldéGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
8 Franculino DjúGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
9 N. DorgelesMali 2goals 0assists 2apps
10 A. TiaMali 2goals 0assists 2apps

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe: preview and prediction

Equatorial Guinea host Zimbabwe in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo. Equatorial Guinea sit 3rd in the table and Zimbabwe 2nd.

Equatorial Guinea have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-L-L-W). Zimbabwe are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 2 for Zimbabwe. It gives Zimbabwe the edge (29% home win, 22% draw, 49% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Double Chance (1X) at odds of 1.36. We also like 1/1, Weh (AWEH).

Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe FAQs

What is the best prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

Our top tip is Double Chance: 1X (1.36 odds).

Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

Zimbabwe are favourites: our model gives Equatorial Guinea 29%, the draw 22% and Zimbabwe 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo.