Double Chance

Double Chance Predictions and Betting Tips

One of the easiest ways of betting in football where you are able to minimize your risks is using the double chance bets.

Rather than betting on just one option, here you will be betting on two out of the three possible options in a game.

This article talks about all that relates to the double chance bets, their importance, and the tips provided by Pikibet in such bets.

Understanding Double Chance Betting

In 1X2 betting, there are only three options to pick from. In double chance bets, you will be picking two out of these three options, which means you have higher chances of winning but the reward is lower due to the risks involved.

Double Chance Bet Meaning

In a double chance bet, there are two options out of the three possible options in a game.

Double Chance is the most common bet because home teams win 46% of matches.

Double Chance - how it works?

Two possibilities of the result of the 1X2 bets are combined and the margin is calculated. For example, the home win odds are 1.80 (implied probability is 55.6%), and draw 3.60 (27.8%).

Then the fair odds of 1X are around 1.20. But the bookmaker offers 1.17 and the difference between them is the overround. Comparison of the prices is more important when placing a bet on double chance than on any other market.

Other Bets, Double Result

Double Chance is not a double result (the half-time/full-time bet), which is betting on the results of the intervals of the game. However, other related types of bets include: draw no bet (DNB), asian handicap 0.0, which is similar to DNB, and DNB itself. DNB provides higher odds for the same team because the refund of stake means no profit. Apply the double chance if draw should be considered as win and DNB if you consider that your team will win but want some insurance.

The Types of Double Chance

• 1X - good home stats and weak away team, odds are usually 1.10 - 1.40
• X2 - strong away team and weak home side, odds 1.15 - 1.55
• 12 - two offensive teams, when draw is unlikely, for example, derby, knockout match. Odds 1.25-1.65.

Question: Which is the one you can rule out? If you cannot rule out, then that may mean doubling chances is not the right market.

Best Double Chance Prediction Website

Pikibet offers daily predictions for double chance betting through xG prediction, form trends, and confirmed team line-ups.

Tips from experts can be seen at SportyTrader while KickOff and BetStudy provide statistics-based predictions. The best predictor will tell you how their predictions are good; predictions explanation, win loss record, and betting amount.

Double Chance Prediction 1X, 12, X2

1X: Home team has won 7+ games out of the last 10 at home; away team is poor on the road.

X2: The away side has been in good form recently (six or more wins in ten away games); home side has not been playing well.

12: Both teams are attacking and there are usually not many draws in the previous matches played between them; knockout game where both sides must win.

Top 5 Double Chance Prediction Websites

Advantages of Using Double Chance Bets

You win more often. The double chance bet makes you twice more likely to win because you cover two possible outcomes.

Higher Probability to Win

Generally speaking, the game between two evenly matched teams offers the same probability in 1X2 betting and equals about 33%.

With the double chance betting, you cover two possible results, meaning that the probability of winning is about 67%. But usually, the probabilities of double chance bets are between 65 and 85%.

The Most Accurate Website for Double Chance Betting Predictions

Unlike 1X2 bets, the predictions of double chances do not have the same level of accuracy. As there are two possible results in the double chance, the probability to win by random choice is two-thirds of the time.

But what really matters is the finding of bets where the implied probability is lower than the real one. And that’s what Pikibet aims at.

Double Chance Betting Tips

• 5–10 matches for form instead of result
• Split data into home form and away form – general form hides the effect of the stadium
• Draw frequency of the league: 28% for Serie A, 24% for Bundesliga
• Compare double chance odds with DNB odds of the same match
• Play with 1–3% of the bankroll on each bet

100 Tips for Double Chance

This phrase is quite popular in searching – it is an additional warning sign. No bookmaker can offer 100 strong tips on a daily basis, as not all matches fit this kind of bets.

Quality here matters more than quantity because of small odds anyway. Just one mistake at 1.15 odds can spoil all the other winning bets. Pikibet offers from 3 to 8 tips per day based on proper match analysis.

Sure Double Chance Prediction

It doesn't even exist. With odds 1.10 (91% probability), the tip will not come true once in 11 bets. Sites which offer "sure" tips are scams.

Double chance betting strategy

Analysis of form: 5-10 matches recently played and split between home and away. In 8 out of 10 matches, the home team won, making for a good 1X bet.

Statistical analysis: It is necessary to use xG and xGA. The good 1X bet is when the home team's xG>1.8 and xGA<1.0. The good X2 bet is when the away team xG>1.5 and xGA<1.2.

Odd analysis: To compare at least 3-5 bookmakers. Odds difference between 1.22 and 1.18 makes 3.4%.

Advice on double chance betting

• Do not bet on the teams that are favorites with odds 1.10-1.15 as single bet – you get low odds/risk ratio.
• Use double chance for accumulators but not alone with very low odds.
• Betting on 12 will be undervalued in leagues with high number of goals scored per match – attacking teams tend not to make draw
• Draws happen due to relegation battles in late season – 1X or X2 bets
• Neutral grounds make no difference in friendlies/cup matches – bet on 12

Teams' evaluation and odds evaluation

Take into consideration teams' form, H/A performance, head to head and fixtures circumstances (injuries, motivation etc.) Team over performing its xG will regress – it makes 1X bets safer.

Statistics Method

Make use of xG, xGA, and NPxGD. If the NPxGD is positive, then the team is doing better than it should considering its stats. Know which team is favored by the stats and bet against that team.

Odds Comparisons Between Bookmakers

There will be differences between margins for 1-3%. When you have odds at 1.20, the margin will be between 1.18 and 1.22 – that is a significant difference for the season.

Popular Double Chance Betting Markets

The occurrence of draws is based on the probabilities that are set for each league individually.

The probability of drawing a game for the Italian Serie A and French Ligue 1 is estimated at 26-28%. The probability for the Bundesliga and Eredivisie is estimated at 22-24%.

Double Chance and Draw No Bet - Which to Pick

FAQs

What is 1X double chance betting?

1X double chance bet is for the home team to win or draw. This bet is losing only when the away team wins the match.

What is X2 double chance betting?

X2 double chance bet is for the draw or away team to win. This bet is losing only when the home team wins the match.

What is 12 double chance betting?

12 double chance bet is for either team to win. This bet is losing when the match ends up with a draw.

Is double chance better than draw no bet?

It depends on what exactly you want. With the double chance betting you will get paid on the draw but with lower odds. In case of the DNB, your stake is returned in case of the draw but with higher odds.

Use double chance bet if there is a possibility of the draw as the result; use DNB if you expect to win with the insurance of the draw.

Can I place double chance bets in accumulators?

Yes, the double chance bets are perfect for low volatility parts of accumulators. But it is worth noting that with double chance your odds are decreasing.

Does Pikibet provide any free double chance predictions?

Yes, Pikibet provides daily double chance predictions with explained reasons publicly, statistics and flat 1-3% staking in 60+ leagues.

Are there any sure double chance predictions?

No. Even the bet with 1.10 odds loses 9% of the time. Find values, manage your bankroll and be ready to lose.

Conclusion

Double chance is considered one of the most safe and easy football markets. Having two possibilities in one bet, you can practically double the probability of your success. Nevertheless, it is necessary to exercise self-discipline because of low odds and look for good deals. Use 1X for the strong home sides, X2 for the strong away sides and 12 if the probability of the tie is low. Have a look at the odds and use xG stats. Do not try to catch up with the losses.

Disclaimer

Pikibet.com does not place bets or make any predictions. Gambling always involves financial risks. The age of the players must be no less than 18 years old. For help, please contact BeGambleAware.