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Home/ World/ Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Group Stage - 3
Ghana

Ghana

4th in table
DLLLL
Kick-off
16:00
Thu, 12 Nov 2026
Somalia

Somalia

3rd in table
DDDLL
Thursday, 12 November 2026
Essipong Stadium, Sekondi-Takoradi

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Ghana Draw Somalia
Value spotted: Draw at 9.50 (model 19% vs market 10%) · Somalia win at 23.00 (model 59% vs market 4%)

Most likely scores

1-2 8.6%
1-3 7.2%
1-1 6.9%
2-2 6.4%
0-2 5.7%
2-3 5.4%

Expected goals: 1.5 Ghana · 2.5 Somalia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
50%
Attack
50%
40%
Defence
60%
30%
Goal model
70%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
40%
Overall
60%

Recent form

1 W 2 D 6 L in the last 9
29 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ghana 2 - 4 Gambia L
24 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Ivory Coast 2 - 0 Ghana L
04 Jul 2026World Cup Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana L
27 Jun 2026World Cup Croatia 2 - 1 Ghana L
23 Jun 2026World Cup England 0 - 0 Ghana D
17 Jun 2026World Cup Ghana 1 - 0 Panama W
02 Jun 2026Friendlies Wales 1 - 1 Ghana D
23 May 2026Friendlies Mexico 2 - 0 Ghana L
30 Mar 2026Friendlies Germany 2 - 1 Ghana L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
29 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Somalia 0 - 2 Ivory Coast L
25 Sep 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Gambia 2 - 1 Somalia L
31 Mar 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Mauritius 0 - 0 Somalia D
27 Mar 2026Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Somalia 0 - 0 Mauritius D
26 Nov 2025Arab Cup Oman 0 - 0 Somalia D
21 Nov 2025Friendlies Bahrain 0 - 1 Somalia W
17 Nov 2025Friendlies Bahrain 1 - 2 Somalia W
14 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Somalia 0 - 1 Mozambique L
09 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Somalia 0 - 3 Algeria L
08 Sep 2025World Cup - Qualification Africa Uganda 2 - 0 Somalia L

Season numbers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Ghana Somalia

Side by side

Ghana Somalia
2 Played 4
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
3 Goals conceded per game 1
2 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
0 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 0-1
2-4 Biggest defeat 0-2
1/1 Penalties scored 4/4

What comes next

Ghana
Somalia (H) 12 Nov
Somalia (A) 16 Nov
Ivory Coast (H) 24 Mar
Gambia (A) 28 Mar
Somalia
Ghana (A) 12 Nov
Ghana (H) 16 Nov
Gambia (H) 24 Mar
Ivory Coast (A) 28 Mar
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Ghana 1.08 93% implied
Draw 9.50 11% implied
Somalia 23.00 4% implied
Ghana 1.01 99% implied
Somalia 12.00 8% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 11.00 9% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied
Under 1.5 5.00 20% implied
Over 2.5 1.50 67% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 2.50 40% implied
Over 3.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 3.5 1.62 62% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
Ghana/Draw 34.00 3% implied
Ghana/Somalia 81.00 1% implied
Draw/Somalia 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Draw 12.00 8% implied
Ghana/Ghana 1.40 71% implied
Draw/Ghana 3.75 27% implied
Somalia/Ghana 26.00 4% implied
Somalia/Draw 41.00 2% implied
Somalia/Somalia 41.00 2% implied
Yes 3.50 29% implied
No 1.28 78% implied
2:0 5.00 20% implied
3:0 5.50 18% implied
1:0 7.00 14% implied
4:0 7.00 14% implied
5:0 11.00 9% implied
2:1 15.00 7% implied
3:1 15.00 7% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
Ghana/Draw 1.00 100% implied
Ghana/Somalia 1.04 96% implied
Draw/Somalia 7.00 14% implied
Ghana 1.36 74% implied
Draw 3.10 32% implied
Somalia 21.00 5% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Ivory Coast 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
2 Gambia 2200 6:3 +3 6 WW
3 Somalia 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL
4 Ghana 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL

Top scorers

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
1 H. MastouriTunisia 4goals 0assists 1apps
2 M. MunetsiZimbabwe 3goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. ColleyGambia 3goals 0assists 2apps
4 Y. WissaCongo DR 2goals 1assists 2apps
5 ChamitoMozambique 2goals 0assists 2apps
6 Omar MarmoushEgypt 2goals 0assists 2apps
7 Mama BaldéGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
8 Franculino DjúGuinea-Bissau 2goals 0assists 2apps
9 N. DorgelesMali 2goals 0assists 2apps
10 A. TiaMali 2goals 0assists 2apps

Ghana vs Somalia: preview and prediction

Ghana host Somalia in the World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 3) on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 at Essipong Stadium, Sekondi-Takoradi. Ghana sit 4th in the table and Somalia 3rd.

Ghana are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-L). Somalia are still looking for a win, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-L-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Ghana and 2.5 for Somalia. It gives Somalia the edge (22% home win, 19% draw, 59% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Verdict: our pick is Over 2.5 at odds of 1.46.

Ghana vs Somalia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our top tip is Two Five Goals: Over 2.5 (1.46 odds).

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

Somalia are favourites: our model gives Ghana 22%, the draw 19% and Somalia 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ghana vs Somalia?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 12th November 2026 at 16:00 at Essipong Stadium, Sekondi-Takoradi.