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Home/ World/ UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League League A - 5
Norway

Norway

4th in table
LWLLL
Kick-off
18:00
Sat, 14 Nov 2026
Wales

Wales

3rd in table
LLLWL
Saturday, 14 November 2026
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Oleksiy Derevinskiy

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Norway Draw Wales
Value spotted: Draw at 7.00 (model 23% vs market 13%) · Wales win at 10.00 (model 27% vs market 9%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.9%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 7.6%
1-2 6.8%
0-1 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.75 Norway · 1.25 Wales

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
75%
Attack
25%
38%
Defence
62%
100%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
100%
33%
Goals
67%
49%
Overall
51%

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Norway wins
0Draws
1Wales wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 2 - 1 Norway

Recent form

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal 2 - 1 Norway L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 2 - 1 Norway L
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway 1 - 2 Portugal L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway 3 - 2 Denmark W
11 Jul 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 2 England L
05 Jul 2026World Cup Brazil 1 - 2 Norway W
30 Jun 2026World Cup Ivory Coast 1 - 2 Norway W
26 Jun 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 4 France L
23 Jun 2026World Cup Norway 3 - 2 Senegal W
16 Jun 2026World Cup Iraq 1 - 4 Norway W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 0 - 1 Denmark L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales 2 - 1 Norway W
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Denmark 2 - 0 Wales L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal 1 - 0 Wales L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Romania 2 - 1 Wales L
02 Jun 2026Friendlies Wales 1 - 1 Ghana D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Wales 1 - 1 Northern Ireland D
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Wales 1 - 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Wales 7 - 1 FYR Macedonia W
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Liechtenstein 0 - 1 Wales W

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
2
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
0
Norway Wales

Side by side

Norway Wales
4 Played 4
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 3
1.5 Goals scored per game 0.5
2 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 1
3-2 Biggest win 2-1
1-2 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Norway
Wales (H) 14 Nov
Denmark (A) 17 Nov
Wales
Norway (A) 14 Nov
Portugal (H) 17 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Norway 1.22 82% implied Our tip
Draw 7.00 14% implied
Wales 10.00 10% implied
Norway 1.08 93% implied Our tip
Wales 8.00 13% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 23.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.11 90% implied
Under 1.5 6.50 15% implied
Over 2.5 1.40 71% implied
Under 2.5 2.88 35% implied
Over 3.5 2.00 50% implied
Under 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Over 4.5 3.25 31% implied
Under 4.5 1.33 75% implied
Norway/Draw 21.00 5% implied
Norway/Wales 41.00 2% implied
Draw/Wales 21.00 5% implied
Draw/Draw 10.00 10% implied
Norway/Norway 1.67 60% implied
Draw/Norway 4.00 25% implied
Wales/Norway 17.00 6% implied
Wales/Draw 23.00 4% implied
Wales/Wales 21.00 5% implied
Yes 1.83 55% implied
No 1.83 55% implied
2:0 7.50 13% implied
3:0 8.00 13% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
1:0 10.00 10% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
4:0 12.00 8% implied
1:1 13.00 8% implied
4:1 15.00 7% implied
Norway/Draw 1.06 94% implied
Norway/Wales 1.10 91% implied
Draw/Wales 4.00 25% implied
Norway 1.57 64% implied Our tip
Draw 3.00 33% implied
Wales 9.00 11% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Portugal 4400 9:4 +5 12 WWWW
2 Denmark 4202 7:7 0 6 WLWL
3 Wales 4103 2:5 -3 3 LWLL
4 Norway 4103 6:8 -2 3 LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Norway vs Wales: preview and prediction

Norway host Wales in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 18:00 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo. Norway sit 4th in the table and Wales 3rd.

Norway are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Wales are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Norway won 0, Wales won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Norway and 1.25 for Wales. It gives Norway the edge (49% home win, 23% draw, 27% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is +2.5 at odds of 1.40. We also like Sure10Win (1).

Norway vs Wales FAQs

What is the best prediction for Norway vs Wales?

Our top tip is Free Tip: +2.5 (1.40 odds).

Who will win Norway vs Wales?

Norway are favourites: our model gives Norway 49%, the draw 23% and Wales 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Norway vs Wales?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 14th November 2026 at 18:00 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo.

Who is the referee?

Oleksiy Derevinskiy is in charge of this game.