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Home/ World/ UEFA Nations League
UEFA Nations League League A - 5
Netherlands

Netherlands

1st in table
DDWDW
Kick-off
20:45
Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Greece

Greece

2nd in table
LWWDD
Friday, 13 November 2026
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Rohit Saggi

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Netherlands Draw Greece
Value spotted: Draw at 4.33 (model 28% vs market 22%) · Greece win at 5.50 (model 42% vs market 17%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
1-0 10.5%
0-2 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 Netherlands · 1.25 Greece

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
58%
Attack
42%
38%
Defence
63%
33%
Goal model
67%
80%
Head to head
20%
75%
Goals
25%
55%
Overall
44%

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Netherlands wins
1Draws
0Greece wins
2.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands
16 Oct 2023Euro Championship - Qualification Greece 0 - 1 Netherlands
07 Sep 2023Euro Championship - Qualification Netherlands 3 - 0 Greece

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 2 - 1 Serbia W
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany D
30 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco D
25 Jun 2026World Cup Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands W
20 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan D
08 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria L
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Hungary 0 - 0 Greece D
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Belarus 0 - 0 Greece D
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 3 - 2 Scotland W

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
2
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
Netherlands Greece

Side by side

Netherlands Greece
4 Played 4
2 Won 2
2 Drawn 2
0 Lost 0
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.5 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1.5
0 Clean sheets 2
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
2-1 Biggest win 1-2
- Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Netherlands
Greece (H) 13 Nov
Germany (A) 16 Nov
Greece
Netherlands (A) 13 Nov
Serbia (H) 16 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Netherlands 1.55 65% implied Our tip
Draw 4.33 23% implied
Greece 5.50 18% implied
Netherlands 1.20 83% implied Our tip
Greece 4.33 23% implied
Over 0.5 1.03 97% implied Our tip
Under 0.5 15.00 7% implied
Over 1.5 1.18 85% implied
Under 1.5 4.50 22% implied
Over 2.5 1.62 62% implied
Under 2.5 2.25 44% implied
Over 3.5 2.50 40% implied
Under 3.5 1.50 67% implied
Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied
Under 4.5 1.18 85% implied
Netherlands/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Netherlands/Greece 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Greece 12.00 8% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
Netherlands/Netherlands 2.30 43% implied
Draw/Netherlands 4.50 22% implied
Greece/Netherlands 19.00 5% implied
Greece/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Greece/Greece 9.00 11% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
1:0 8.50 12% implied
2:0 8.50 12% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
3:0 12.00 8% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
0:0 15.00 7% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
Netherlands/Draw 1.14 88% implied
Netherlands/Greece 1.20 83% implied
Draw/Greece 2.38 42% implied
Netherlands 2.05 49% implied Our tip
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Greece 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Netherlands 4220 7:5 +2 8 WDWD
2 Greece 4220 5:3 +2 8 DDWW
3 Germany 4121 3:2 +1 5 DWLD
4 Serbia 4004 3:8 -5 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Netherlands vs Greece: preview and prediction

Netherlands host Greece in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 5) on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam. Netherlands sit 1st in the table and Greece 2nd.

Netherlands have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W). Greece have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-D).

In the last 3 meetings, Netherlands won 2, Greece won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Netherlands and 1.25 for Greece. It gives Greece the edge (30% home win, 28% draw, 42% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Verdict: our pick is B T T S (BTTS/GG) at odds of 1.70. We also like 1 DNB, Free Tip (1), Over 0.5.

Netherlands vs Greece FAQs

What is the best prediction for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our top tip is B T T S: BTTS/GG (1.70 odds).

Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?

Greece are favourites: our model gives Netherlands 30%, the draw 28% and Greece 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Netherlands vs Greece?

Kick-off is on Friday, 13th November 2026 at 20:45 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.

Who is the referee?

Rohit Saggi is in charge of this game.